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Russia will spur East European modernised air defence

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The contract is part of a continuing and massive effort to modernise and enhance air defence capability across Central-Eastern Europe (CEE) in the face of Russia’s aggression in…

Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict over Karabakh is settled

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The region’s Armenian majority population has fled; displaced Azerbaijanis have returned to Karabakh and formerly occupied surrounding districts. Russia refused to support its…

North Korea may goad South Korea into limited conflict

Location:

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

Pyongyang claims to have tested a new nuclear-capable underwater drone -- Seoul is sceptical -- and North Korea’s foreign minister has visited Moscow. South Korean President Yoon…

Ukraine cyberdefences will have impact beyond Russia

Location:

INT

A few Russian cyberattacks directed at Ukrainian satellite and mobile infrastructure have been disruptive, but many more have seemingly been thwarted. This indicates both that…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

Location:

BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

Location:

ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

France’s Ukraine position exposes Western divisions

Location:

FRANCE

Despite criticism from Western allies, Macron’s position has remained firm. This comes against the backdrop of tensions with Germany, upcoming European Parliament elections and…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

Location:

THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

Ukrainian military reshuffle is a gamble for Zelensky

Location:

UKRAINE

The appointment of General Oleksandr Syrsky as Zaluzhny's replacement and of other senior officers to the military command is the greatest political change in Ukraine since the…

Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus

Location:

SOUTH CAUCASUS

Azerbaijan’s recapture of the Nagorno-Karabakh region signalled a new era in Russia’s foreign policy towards the South Caucasus. Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Moscow is no…