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Russian capital flows blocked as exports surge

Location:

RUSSIA

Financial flows have all but halted because foreign investment is near-impossible and because capital controls and the risk of asset seizure abroad curb outflows. These dynamics…

Russian government will see positives in weaker ruble

Location:

RUSSIA

The bank doubled its rate in February to shield the ruble from sanctions impacts but then started cutting it as -- against expectations -- the currency appreciated. Moscow hailed…

Weaker ruble will add to inflationary pressures

Location:

RUSSIA

The size of the rate hike attests to the CBR’s determination to tame domestic price rises at all costs, even though this is likely to restrict credit growth and dampen output. The…

Greece's more competitive economy may turn to exports

Location:

GREECE

Signs of resilience in the Greek economy.

Egypt will retrench to its 'buffer' aim in Libya

Location:

EGYPT

Haftar’s bid to take control of the capital Tripoli and the rest of Libya ended abruptly in May, after Turkey intervened in support of his adversary, the internationally…

Falling Russian oil exports will pressure ruble

Location:

RUSSIA

A weaker ruble will dampen Russian imports and this could deepen recession in 2023. The role of ruble-renminbi transactions has increased as the authorities seek to reduce…

Ukraine risk will hurt investor perceptions of Poland

Location:

POLAND

Moscow’s biggest counterattack against European sanctions in response to its invasion of Ukraine increases the strain on the creditworthiness of Central Europe’s largest economy…

EU oil ban will bite into Russia's budget and GDP

Location:

RUSSIA

Oil sales to the EU netted an average USD10bn in March and April; this revenue stream will be lost if European leaders can agree unanimously on a ban. Refined products as well as…

Turning tide of Libya war will have wide repercussions

Location:

LIBYA

A new battle-line has now formed in central Libya. The LNA’s offensive ended largely because of Turkey’s intervention in Libya since January. Extensive Turkish support for the…

Putin's role in Russian economic policy will grow

Location:

RUSSIA

Russian economic policy-making.