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Prospects for South Africa in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

Macroeconomic prospects depend on whether Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana’s Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) achieves traction with potentially hostile audiences…

Energy crisis may spur reforms in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

The fire has exacerbated electricity black-outs amid widespread shortages of food and other basic items. The government response to the crisis has so far included opening up…

US electric car rollout will hinge on public policy

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US/INT

Electric vehicles (EVs) remain a tiny fraction of the overall auto fleet, but sales are growing thanks to falling costs, enticing new models and government support such as the EV…

Ethiopian Nile waters will muddy regional rivalries

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ETHIOPIA

This comes at a time when Ethio-Egyptian competition over the Nile has intensified once more. The Nile is vital to both countries: water for the livelihoods of the concentrated…

Oligarchic influence will slow Ukraine's progress

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UKRAINE

Government vulnerability to powerful commercial interests.

E-commerce market will settle to steady growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The pandemic sped up the expansion of e-commerce worldwide. However, growth rates are now reverting from 26% in 2020 and 19% in 2021 towards rates closer to 10%. Shoppers still…

Pakistan will avoid major changes in foreign policy

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PAKISTAN

In a speech at the inaugural Islamabad Security Dialogue (ISD), he said his country and India -- long-standing enemies -- should “bury the past and move forward”. He talked about…

India will be somewhat more open to Chinese investors

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INDIA/CHINA

Jaishankar later told media that bilateral relations cannot be “normal” if the situation at the India-China border remains “abnormal”. The two sides have only partially disengaged…