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Fractured French populace may thwart Macron

Location:

FRANCE

Macron won 66% of the vote versus Le Pen’s 34%, on a turnout of nearly 76% -- the second-lowest for a second-round election since 1965. Once Macron is sworn in (by May 14), his…

EU-China investment deal is running out of time

Location:

EU/CHINA

According to Beijing, Merkel and Macron showed their willingness to ratify quickly the EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI). However, opposition to the CAI is…

Prospects for Western Europe to end-2018

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Western Europe to end-2018.

Arrests are unlikely to derail Russian cyberespionage

Location:

RUSSIA

Media outlets provided unusually detailed coverage of the story that the FSB had arrested two of its own officers and another individual. The investigation has receded into…

Germany to wait out major EU decisions until post-2017

Location:

GERMANY

The Greek crisis has exposed Germany's euro-area dominance more clearly than ever -- to both Germany's partners and Germany, and to the discomfort of both. Merkel's decisions in…

Move towards EU integration may split Central Europe

Location:

EU

EU reform’s likely consequences for the four Central European member states.

Legitimacy deficit will define Libya elections

Location:

LIBYA

The Paris Conference on Libya on November 12 presented a superficial show of international consensus in support of elections. However, reports indicate growing worries about the…

France will do little to advance Balkan EU accession

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FRANCE/BALKANS

As holder of the Council of the EU presidency for January-June, France presides over meetings, manages the decision-making process and encourages cooperation between member…

Insecurity in Niger may rise

Location:

NIGER

Chefou was reportedly recruiting youths from the Fulani ethnic group. There has been confusion around what happened during the incident, which was the US military’s first loss of…