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North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

Religious freedom will slowly expand in Vietnam

Location:

VIETNAM

Catholics are a sizeable minority religious group in the country, numbering roughly 7 million out of a population of nearly 100 million. Vietnam and the Vatican have not had…

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022.

Russia will struggle to restructure ailing monotowns

Location:

RUSSIA

Millions of Russians (close to 10% of the population) still live in depressed 'monotowns' – single-factory (or single-industry) towns built in the Soviet era. Many monotowns are…

High employment and low wages will curb Russian growth

Location:

RUSSIA

In defiance of expectations following the imposition of severe sanctions, the unemployment rate has hovered around 3.2%. Yet rather than a sign of resilience, low unemployment…

Bosnian Serbs are unlikely to seek independence yet

Location:

BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA

The move followed changes to the Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) election law, aimed at enhancing electoral transparency, imposed by High Representative Christian Schmidt. RS President…

Stability indexes can be deceptive tools

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Review of peace and conflict maps.

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…