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German-French defence tensions will persist

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GERMANY

Berlin argues that Arrow 3 will close a capabilities gap in its air defence, though some analysts regard it as unnecessary. It is stepping up defence spending after years of…

Turkey will seek to maximise influence in Afghanistan

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TURKEY

An ‘air bridge’ between Kabul and Islamabad of eight aircraft and two helicopters completed the evacuation before the August 31 deadline. Meanwhile, Turkey has stepped up…

Tensions on the Israel-Syria-Lebanon border will rise

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ISRAEL/LEBANON/SYRIA

This followed the first-ever operational launch of the longer-range Arrow ballistic missile defence system (initially introduced in 2000), when an Arrow-2 missile interceptor on…

Japan-UK security partnership will deepen

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JAPAN/UK

The former provides a legal framework for UK and Japanese forces to deploy on each other’s territory. The latter pools resources for the joint development of a next-generation…

Pakistani Taliban will come under huge pressure

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PAKISTAN

The attack was claimed by Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, an especially hard-line faction of the Pakistani Taliban Movement (TTP). Although the TTP has markedly stepped up its offensive against…

Growing drone use will drive international regulation

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INTERNATIONAL

The EP's move gives parliamentary backing to the effort to develop common EU drone rules. The report advanced nothing novel, but will both encourage and put pressure on the…

Egypt unlikely to solve aviation safety concerns soon

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EGYPT

Russia suspended all direct flights to the country after Islamic State group (ISG)'s Sinai affiliate downed a Russian A321 Metrojet civilian aircraft departing from Egypt's Sharm…

California data privacy law will have national impact

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UNITED STATES

Californian and US data privacy law.

THAAD will destabilise East Asia geopolitics

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EAST ASIA

US missile defence in East Asia.

Nigeria's north-west violence will intensify further

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NIGERIA

Still largely driven by a combination of criminal banditry and 'farmer-herder' conflicts but with hints of growing jihadist group involvement, the scope of insecurity has…