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Rebound among South-east Asian airlines will be uneven

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Air passenger traffic in the region has fallen sharply since the onset of COVID-19 crisis. Most South-east Asian countries are battling resurgent waves of infection, fuelled by…

COVID-19 and oil shocks raise Gulf recession risks

Location:

GULF STATES

Lower oil and gas revenues are the major transmission channel of the global crisis to regional economies, but tourism, financial and professional services are also taking a major…

Economic outlook remains weak in Jamaica and Trinidad

Location:

JAMAICA/TRINIDAD

Inflation and interest rates are up, although unemployment and poverty levels remain relatively low. More generally, both countries are being challenged by rising rates of violent…

Prospects for Turkey to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Turkey to end-2022.

Recovery will be slow after Peru's sharp contraction

Location:

PERU

A second wave of the pandemic is currently under way and will prolong these impacts, delaying recovery this year. The slow roll-out of available vaccines will further extend the…

Pandemic to worsen Costa Rica’s weak fiscal position

Location:

COSTA RICA

Transport and hospitality have been the hardest-hit sectors, posting plunges of more than 15 percentage points in July-September against the same period in 2019. Household…

New SAA deal could taint Pretoria's reform agenda

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SOUTH AFRICA

It also raises questions about President Cyril Ramaphosa’s reform plan for state-owned enterprises (SOEs), crucial to growth prospects and the restoration of public finances, as…

Brexit will further destabilise weak Greek economy

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GREECE

Economic uncertainty in Greece after Brexit.

Cuba unrest will be muted despite economic woes

Location:

CUBA

Economic recovery is nevertheless weak, marked by a liquidity crisis, shortages and inflation. Monetary reform has not stabilised the Cuban peso and, while a heavy-handed response…

Fear of anti-India protests hurts Maldives government

Location:

MALDIVES

Solih’s government has departed from the pro-China diplomacy which Yameen pursued, reverting to the country’s long-standing ‘India First’ policy. Indian Foreign Minister S…