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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
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Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 April 2024
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Support from Washington helped President Bernardo Arevalo take power in January, resetting relations after a period of strain under former President Alejandro Giammattei…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 February 2024
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He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Mexico in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), who legally cannot seek re-election, will focus on promoting his favoured presidential candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum, potentially…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

It was the most formidable Pacific storm to hit Mexico in at least 30 years, and took both the government and the population largely by surprise. Disaster risk analysis firm Enki…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Official figures suggest that 10 million people participated in a referendum held on December 3 in which over 90% of those who voted (accounting for nearly half of the electorate…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The relative sluggishness is due partly to the delayed impacts of financial tightening and reduced global demand. While domestic demand has been the primary engine of growth, the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

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