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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

US trade exposure to China will remain high

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

In January-November, imports of Chinese goods dropped more than 20% year-on-year. China’s share of total US imports plunged to 13.9% from 16.7% in the same period in 2022, while…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Fostering closer trade and financial ties with countries outside the West is essential if Russia is to improve its economic security and enhance its sovereignty. For Moscow it is…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

South-east Asia is a key theatre in which Chinese-US strategic rivalry plays out. Beijing is counting on regional defence diplomacy to help it push back against the United States…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ASEAN continues to champion its ‘Five-Point Consensus’ (5PC) plan for easing the country’s tensions, but in parallel, key players within the group -- namely Indonesia and Malaysia…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Regional players will meanwhile work hard to sustain robust economic growth and affirm ASEAN ‘centrality’.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Philippines and other South-east Asian countries are keen on adding nuclear to their energy mixes. Geopolitics is a key factor in their efforts to realise this ambition, with…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The US State Department responded by saying that the case against him was politically motivated and part of a broader trend of the government cracking down on dissent. Prime…

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