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MALI: Jihadist leader death will boost junta narrative
A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286312
ISSN: 2633-304X
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WEST AFRICA: Standby force creation faces many hurdles
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286603
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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The deal builds on the recent ten-year agreement on maritime defence cooperation. Somalia is believed to have significant onshore and offshore oil and gas potential. However…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286121
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Violence also appears to be escalating in Niger since the July 2023 coup there. The ruling military juntas in all three countries have followed the same basic strategy of…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285872
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Taliban have increasingly fraught relations not only with Shia, most of whom are ethnic Hazaras, but also with other marginalised communities, including Salafis -- a small…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285955
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: Hezbollah talks have limits
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285992
ISSN: 2633-304X
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YEMEN: New US designation will not affect the Huthis
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284646
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The bailout’s second tranche cannot be released until the review is complete. Separately, the government is battling accusations that it is protecting individuals who helped…