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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 March 2024
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The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 February 2024
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The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Separately, the IMF’s Executive Board on March 20 approved a four-year, roughly USD3bn Extended Fund Facility for the country. The approval came around ten months after Sri Lanka…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 June 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for South Africa to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Meanwhile, the already dire state of public finances is set to deteriorate further as the economic impacts of the COVID-19 dampen revenues and increase debt, further undercutting…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 April 2021
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, with a second wave underway and the mining and tourism sectors -- key foreign exchange earners -- upended, he recently changed tack, authorising an immunisation programme…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The claim that one of Boko Haram’s factions sponsored the Kankara attack reinforces fears that jihadist outreach to bandit groups is succeeding and that violence will grow in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 October 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, the MTBPS relies even more heavily on getting powerful public-sector unions to agree to unprecedented wage freezes over the next three years, putting its credibility in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 July 2015
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The reforms will allow the release of fresh funding for banks and a bridging loan to meet debt obligations to the IMF and ECB. A quarter of Syriza deputies rebelled, but…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

While the G20's new Common Framework for Debt Treatments provides a new mechanism for debt restructuring, it also requires Zambia to convince the IMF that it has disclosed all of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

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