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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024
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Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2024
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Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
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War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 December 2023
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The navy has been more successful in modernising its submarine force than its surface fleet. Although it has fallen short of its original targets set in 2011, the new submarines…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 October 2023
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With both countries facing isolation from the West, Russia and Belarus are seeking to move closer together. The contact mechanisms of the Union State of Russia and Belarus are…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 June 2023
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Putin said more would follow by the end of summer or year-end, as a warning to the West against inflicting “strategic defeat” on Russia through its support for Ukraine. Accepting…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Iranian-US relations will remain fraught

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IRAN/UNITED STATES

The warning comes despite the announcement on August 10 of an ‘understanding’, which could see US dual nationals freed in a prisoner exchange in return for unfreezing Iranian…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2023
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The Philippines and other South-east Asian countries are keen on adding nuclear to their energy mixes. Geopolitics is a key factor in their efforts to realise this ambition, with…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 March 2023
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Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah of Iran, is taking advantage of the increasing isolation of Iran from Western governments. However, a coherent opposition grouping that has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 June 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The arrest and conviction of Jalali, a medical doctor and researcher, raised accusations from Western states that Tehran detains foreign nationals as 'hostages' to apply political…

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