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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287151

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
construction
debt
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
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prices
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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Inflation slows but recession will linger

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287040

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
social
fiscal
government
legislation
monetary
policy
prices
growth
health
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wages
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287016

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
banking
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
opposition
pensions
policy
private sector
public sector
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Executive summary
Publication date: 25 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

POLAND: October elections will drive budget plans

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281526

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Poland
EUR
EU
Ukraine
Topical
economy
politics
social
defence
election
fiscal
government
welfare
education
family
growth
monetary
opposition
party
pensions
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regional
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government proposes a moderate increase in spending, largely funded by better-than-expected GDP growth. Rome has committed to the previous government's fiscal consolidation…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274534

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Italy
EUR
EU
Topical
economy
politics
social
fiscal
government
growth
policy
corporate
foreign policy
immigration
monetary
opposition
party
pensions
population
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Lacalle Pou’s pension reform has passed the Senate, educational reforms are under way and he is pushing infrastructure works. However, the opposition Frente Amplio (Broad Front…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275530

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Uruguay
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
social
education
election
fiscal
foreign trade
government
growth
monetary
opposition
pensions
policy
reform
agriculture
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2016
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Days before this announcement, the government asked Congress to approve a primary deficit of up to 96.65 billion reais (some 1.5% of GDP) for this year. The sharp deterioration in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB210310

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Brazil
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
social
bonds
debt
education
exchange rate
fiscal
government
growth
health
monetary
pensions
policy
prices
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welfare
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 May 2018
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Economic outlook for Switzerland.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB234072

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Switzerland
EUR
EU
Topical
economy
politics
social
employment
exchange rate
foreign trade
growth
labour
monetary
prices
consumer
fiscal
pensions
wages
welfare
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 March 2015
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

In order to receive new IMF lending, the budget also introduces big gas price rises, and increases defence spending. Meanwhile, the hryvnia's disastrous February weakening…

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