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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 13 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Prices and poverty will drive uncertainty

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285823

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
international relations
politics
social
debt
fiscal
government
military
narcotics
policy
poverty
prices
security
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 12 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ECUADOR: Army will not solve criminality long-term

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284542

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Ecuador
LA/C
United States
Topical
economy
international relations
politics
social
aid
crime
emergency
fiscal
government
human rights
military
police
policy
security
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Brazil in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

After a government change in January 2023 following a process clouded by doubts over the resilience of Brazilian democracy, key institutions have strengthened their position, and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Milei met National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, while his team met the Treasury and IMF to present a structural adjustment plan. Likely Foreign Minister Diana Mondino also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The following week, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) approved imports of Paraguayan beef for the first time in 26 years. These positive developments come at a time of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

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