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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
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Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 January 2024
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Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 November 2023
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Prospects for Turkey in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The municipal elections are also an opportunity for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to solidify his rule further by winning back the cities he lost in 2019. The adoption of more…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 November 2023
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Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 November 2023
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This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
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Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 July 2023
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According to a debt sustainability analysis published by the IMF in May, Laos is in debt distress. Years of rapid growth in borrowing to fund infrastructure development…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 July 2023
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The staff-level agreement on the package was announced on June 29, the day before an Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement which Pakistan had with the IMF expired with around…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

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