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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 June 2024
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The far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) made significant gains even though it performed slightly worse than opinion polls had predicted. Nonetheless, its rise…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 22 September 2023
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POLAND/UKRAINE: Warsaw will draw back from rows
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2023
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This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The programme includes halting official military aid to Ukraine, as incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico promised during the election campaign. Recent elections in Central Europe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 June 2023
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After two inconclusive elections, GERB and PP-DB have conditionally agreed to cooperate. The cabinet headed by Nikolay Denkov (PP-DB) ends the long rule by a caretaker…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 March 2023
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The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Christodoulides is taking charge at a time of high political volatility. Though he is from the ruling Democratic Rally (DISY), he was not DISY's candidate, won with the support of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Radev’s dominance in Bulgarian politics is secure at least until the end of April. Galab Donev, a close confidant of his, is slated for reappointment as interim prime minister.

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s war in neighbouring Ukraine has prompted EU member-states, and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) in particular, to rethink their own…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This is the most significant upgrade in US-Cyprus relations since the ban was imposed in 1987, and marks a definitive shift for Cyprus from Russia to the West. However, the…

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