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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 June 2024
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Morena and allies performed strongly at all levels in the general elections, proving popular locally, taking most contested state governorships and securing a two-thirds majority…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
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His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
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Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 20 May 2024
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Abinader win points to continuity
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 April 2024
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Support from Washington helped President Bernardo Arevalo take power in January, resetting relations after a period of strain under former President Alejandro Giammattei…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 17 May 2024
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Abinader looks set for re-election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Boluarte has reshuffled some key cabinet posts, including the portfolios of defence, economy and finance, and energy and mines. The main purpose of the changes is to shore up…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Mexico in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), who legally cannot seek re-election, will focus on promoting his favoured presidential candidate, Claudia Sheinbaum, potentially…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The army now has a central role in combating crime groups, 22 of which have been categorised as terrorist organisations. The move has been widely welcomed, but militarisation…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

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