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Expert briefing

Publication date: 26 April 2024

Foreign exchange shortages will persist in Guyana

Location:: GUYANA

These difficulties have arisen despite the sharp rise in oil output to nearly 143 million barrels last year, from which the government received some USD1.6bn in revenues. Oil…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286685

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Guyana

LA/C

Trinidad and Tobago

Topical

economy

industry

banking

corporate

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign trade

monetary

oil

policy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 14 August 2023

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

Location:: RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281176

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

exchange rate

foreign trade

monetary

prices

sanctions

automobile

capital flows

consumer

corporate

coup

finance

fiscal

growth

labour

military

oil

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 27 June 2023

Georgia risks becoming Russian sanctions-evasion haven

Location:: GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Tbilisi has authorised flights by two smaller Russian airlines, exacerbating fears of the potential for sanctions evasion. That follows the easing of Russia’s visa regime for…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279752

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Georgia

Russia

RUCIS

Caucasus

United States

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Topical

international relations

sanctions

economy

industry

politics

airlines

foreign policy

foreign trade

government

banking

corporate

foreign investment

growth

integration

remittances

shipping

exchange rate

transport

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Executive summary

Publication date: 1 September 2023

Booming Russian factories will face supply constraints

Location:: RUSSIA

RUSSIA: Booming factories will face supply constraints

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281635

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Topical

economy

industry

construction

corporate

exchange rate

growth

labour

manufacturing

prices

private sector

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 5 June 2023

Russia’s budget deficit may exceed official target

Location:: RUSSIA

The federal budget deficit target for 2023, set at RUB2.9tn (USD35.8bn), is likely to be exceeded for the second year in a row. Federal expenditure is showing no signs of slowing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279533

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Europe

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

politics

debt

fiscal

gas

oil

prices

bonds

corporate

defence

exchange rate

foreign investment

foreign trade

pensions

wages

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Executive summary

Publication date: 13 September 2023

Credit growth will slow in some Gulf states

Location:: GULF STATES

GULF STATES: Credit growth will slow

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281919

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Gulf states

ME/NAF

Kuwait

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Topical

economy

industry

banking

corporate

government

monetary

exchange rate

oil

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 June 2023

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

Location:: PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279750

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

OPEC

Ukraine

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

fiscal

growth

manufacturing

monetary

prices

balance of payments

consumer

corporate

defence

exchange rate

foreign trade

gas

investment

labour

oil

retail

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 24 April 2023

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:: RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278591

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

IMF-World Bank

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

foreign trade

growth

manufacturing

prices

sanctions

automobile

chemical

corporate

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

gas

labour

metals

monetary

oil

pharmaceutical

textiles

timber

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Executive summary

Publication date: 9 November 2022

Turkish banks’ profitability will fall next year

Location:: TURKEY

TURKEY: Bank profitability will fall next year

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES273917

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

industry

banking

government

policy

prices

monetary

corporate

exchange rate

bonds

consumer

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