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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
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A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024
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The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 April 2024
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The budget keeps the deficit just inside prescribed limits despite an increase in new spending, by stepping up measures to boost revenue. Initiatives designed to target the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286531

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Canada
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Hopes that sanctions and a sclerotic economy will hinder Russia’s war effort are likely to prove misplaced. Careful management of the budget and healthy oil revenues mean that the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281739

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Russia
RUCIS
Ukraine
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economy
international relations
arms
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The federal budget deficit target for 2023, set at RUB2.9tn (USD35.8bn), is likely to be exceeded for the second year in a row. Federal expenditure is showing no signs of slowing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279533

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Russia
RUCIS
Europe
Ukraine
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industry
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gas
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Banking-sector stability is vital for the functioning of the Russian economy: bank credit is facilitating economic restructuring. Although the sector withstood the first impact of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s war in neighbouring Ukraine has prompted EU member-states, and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) in particular, to rethink their own…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 November 2020
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The official baseline is for an 8.2% GDP contraction in 2020, and a 7.5% rebound in 2021. It took into account moderate restrictions on movement in winter 2020/21, but the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB257283

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Greece
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