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Expert briefing

Publication date: 12 April 2024

The EU’s phase-out of Russian gas is not guaranteed

Location:: EU

This is the trajectory followed by the majority of member states. However, blockages remain in east-central Europe, where Turkey could play a role in maintaining direct or…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286400

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

EUR

RUCIS

Bulgaria

Hungary

Slovakia

Turkey

Ukraine

United States

Topical

industry

politics

foreign trade

gas

regional

energy

government

infrastructure

shipping

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 16 April 2024

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:: RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286445

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

Russia

ME/NAF

RUCIS

Israel

Libya

NATO

Palestinians

Syria

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

aerospace

defence

energy

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

invasion

military

nuclear energy

oil

security

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2024

ASEAN will pursue incremental engagement in Myanmar

Location:: MYANMAR

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284951

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Myanmar

ASEAN

China

Europe

Laos

Russia

Thailand

Ukraine

United States

Topical

international relations

politics

social

aid

civil war

coup

emergency

ethnic

foreign policy

government

guerrillas

military

opposition

policy

regional

talks

arms

corporate

gas

infrastructure

oil

sanctions

shipping

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 6 March 2024

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:: TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285684

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Caucasus

Gulf states

Iran

Iraq

Israel

Palestinians

Russia

Syria

United States

Ukraine

Topical

international relations

foreign investment

foreign policy

economy

security

industry

politics

border conflict

talks

arms

election

espionage

gas

integration

invasion

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 7 February 2024

The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

Location:: CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285060

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Caucasus

RUCIS

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

Russia

Central Asia

China

Iran

Turkey

Ukraine

Europe

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

foreign policy

government

security

talks

energy

integration

invasion

military

peacekeeping

refugees

war

industry

foreign trade

gas

transport

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 12 January 2024

Vietnam will rethink its relations with Russia

Location:: VIETNAM

Vietnam is Russia’s closest partner in South-east Asia and has refused to criticise Moscow over the Ukraine war. Between 2000 and 2022, Russia accounted for more than 80% of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284520

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Vietnam

Russia

China

Europe

India

Israel

Japan

Myanmar

South Korea

South-east Asia

Ukraine

United Nations

United States

Taiwan

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

defence

energy

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

military

oil

policy

sanctions

security

talks

war

international law

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 19 September 2023

Russian energy influence in Moldova will decline

Location:: MOLDOVA

The decision to make Vestmodtransgaz the transmission system operator (TSO) will facilitate the overhaul of national gas utility MoldovaGaz. It will also deprive Russia of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282048

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Moldova

Russia

EUR

RUCIS

Romania

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

debt

energy

gas

legislation

regulation

corporate

foreign policy

infrastructure

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 September 2023

Turkey will claim larger share of Balkan gas markets

Location:: BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Turkish state-owned utility BOTAS has a supply contract with Bulgargaz which also includes access to the Bulgarian grid. It is in position to resell Russian gas to customers in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281972

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

EUR

Azerbaijan

Hungary

Romania

Serbia

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Balkans

Russia

BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

energy

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

talks

government

infrastructure

integration

regulation

industry

corporate

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 30 October 2023

South-eastern Europe will focus on cross-border links

Location:: GREECE/BULGARIA/ROMANIA

The EU seeks to improve connectivity among its members and partners in South-eastern Europe, with added impetus since the invasion of Ukraine. Improved cross-border connections…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283007

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Balkans

EUR

RUCIS

Bulgaria

Greece

Romania

Austria

Azerbaijan

Hungary

Moldova

North Macedonia

Russia

Serbia

Ukraine

GREECE/BULGARIA/ROMANIA

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

energy

infrastructure

integration

summit

aid

gas

investment

oil

railway

road

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 30 October 2023

Russia’s war in Ukraine puts Gazprom at risk

Location:: RUSSIA

In October the government of Moldova decided to cease buying natural gas from Gazprom, having secured sufficient supplies from alternative sources at a lower price. Although…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282997

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Moldova

Poland

Turkey

Ukraine

Topical

economy

international relations

energy

foreign policy

gas

infrastructure

invasion

investment

prices

sanctions

war

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