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NIGERIA: Coup risk will remain low despite indicators
Tinubu will inherit a deeply polarised country struggling with growing lawlessness and a security sector beset by many problems, including resource limitations, poor performance…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB277909
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Prospects for African politics to end-2018.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB235622
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although many recent jihadist attacks have occurred in border regions with Niger (to the north of Borno State) or Cameroon (to the east of Borno and neighbouring Adamawa State)…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB259995
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The claim that one of Boko Haram’s factions sponsored the Kankara attack reinforces fears that jihadist outreach to bandit groups is succeeding and that violence will grow in…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB258367
ISSN: 2633-304X
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NIGERIA: Buhari will not assuage north-east fears
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES240205
ISSN: 2633-304X
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These shocks will sustain already heightened reform pressures on the government during a period of diminishing public revenue. Security crises across various states and regions…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB257599
ISSN: 2633-304X
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In recent weeks, ISWAP captured the town of Kangarwa and reportedly massacred over 100 soldiers in the nearby town of Metele. Coming just months before the February 2019…
Out of ECOWAS’s 15 member states, only Togo and The Gambia do not have a two-term stipulation. However, the regional organisation is pushing for every member state to set such…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB224717
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The targeting of these civilian vigilantes highlights the centrality of community-based, often ethnically aligned, government-backed militias in the Sahel’s various conflicts…