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Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Syrian Kurds might lose their US military protection

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SYRIA

The autonomous administration there is under increased pressure, exacerbated by the Gaza conflict, which has resulted in escalating confrontation between pro-Iranian Iraqi…

The Gaza war will worsen Jordan’s long-term debt risk

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JORDAN

He was speaking at the signing ceremony for the first USD845mn grant bolstering the national budget, under a new agreement signed this year. The Gaza war has exacerbated concerns…

Saudi Arabia's foreign policy will avoid controversy

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SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Arabia will use the summit to underline its regional leadership, with a foreign policy posture that has been increasingly less confrontational since 2020. This reflects the…

Influencing Iraq and Syria will have costs for Turkey

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TURKEY

Turkey's attempts to expand its military role in both Iraq and Syria are entangled with major shifts in its relations with the United States and Russia, and in its overall…

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the Gulf states in 2017.

Shared aims could trump Turkey-Iran tensions in Iraq

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IRAN/TURKEY

Abadi is walking a difficult line between Turkish and Iranian allies, who fear each other’s intentions in Iraq. These tensions are focused on the post-Mosul era, which opens the…

Damascus will confront US-backed forces over energy

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SYRIA

SYRIA: Damascus will confront US-backed forces

Yemen’s divided south faces security and economic woes

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YEMEN

The STC and the internationally recognised government of President Abd Rabbu Mansur Hadi established an uneasy power-sharing cabinet in December 2020. This enabled them to boost…