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Prospects for South-east Asia in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

All are aiming to revive economies badly hit by the pandemic’s fallout. The ten ASEAN states and five of the bloc’s dialogue partners recently signed a Regional Comprehensive…

UNCLOS ruling may ease China-South-east Asia tensions

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CHINA/SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A sweeping victory for the Philippines has dismantled any legal basis for expansive Chinese claims across much of the South China Sea.

Closer Thai-China ties will not risk US security link

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THAILAND

Both the Thai and Chinese militaries are participating. The Thai junta -- keen to bolster strategic cooperation with Beijing and to attract Chinese infrastructure investment -…

Prospects for South-east Asia politics in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for South-east Asia politics in 2018.

Diverging views of China will hinder Thai-US alliance

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THAILAND/US

Thailand is a treaty ally of the United States and occupies an important geostrategic location in mainland South-east Asia, a key theatre of US-China rivalry. Bangkok has…

Washington’s interests will dominate US-ASEAN summit

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US/ASEAN

The event was originally due to take place in March but was postponed because some South-east Asian leaders could not attend on the scheduled dates. Washington and ASEAN are…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

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THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

ASEAN and partners are far from sealing key trade pact

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ASEAN

Most of ASEAN’s dialogue partners will be present at the talks in Bangkok. High on the agenda will be attempts to conclude negotiations over the Regional Comprehensive Economic…

US-Chinese competition will intensify in Thailand

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THAILAND

Bangkok is both a partner to Beijing and a US treaty ally. Thailand occupies an important geostrategic location in South-east Asia, an increasingly key theatre in which the United…

Growing Laos-US ties will concern Beijing

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LAOS/US

Laos/US diplomatic ties.