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Prospects for improved Algerian-Moroccan ties are low

Location:

ALGERIA/MOROCCO

The Israel-Hamas conflict has added to tensions between Algiers and Rabat over Western Sahara and their military build-ups, following Algiers' decision to break diplomatic…

Moroccan ‘wins’ over Western Sahara come with risks

Location:

MOROCCO/WESTERN SAHARA

President Donald Trump announced on December 10 that Washington would recognise Rabat’s claims over Western Sahara (the UN considers it a non-self-governing territory) in exchange…

Romanian protests will invigorate pro-reform forces

Location:

ROMANIA

The political fallout from anti-government demonstrations.

Split Bulgarian parliament would suit ambitious Radev

Location:

BULGARIA

It is the fourth election since April 2021. President Rumen Radev -- the real power behind Prime Minister Galab Donev's caretaker government -- is widely suspected of wishing to…

Equatorial Guinea’s VP will consolidate his position

Location:

EQUATORIAL GUINEA

Despite the public criticism, Obama Asue was soon reappointed. This was due largely to the reported intervention of the president’s son, Vice-President Teodorin Obiang, a…

Disparate new Montenegrin government looks fragile

Location:

MONTENEGRO

Decades of one-party rule by the Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) ended at the August 30 elections, which delivered a stinging rebuke to veteran strongman Milo Djukanovic…

More disputes are likely despite Belarus-Russia deal

Location:

BELARUS/RUSSIA

A meeting between President Alexander Lukashenka and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in early April appeared to resolve multiple disputes and set their countries back on a…

Zambian economic gloom likely to worsen

Location:

ZAMBIA

Amid escalating external debt, President Edgar Lungu’s administration recently directed the liquidation of KCM, majority-owned by Vedanta, and is suspected to want to sell these…

Ukraine invasion may affect Russia’s Balkan influence

Location:

BALKANS

Eufor is activating about 500 of its reserves in case the deteriorating international situation spreads to BiH. The announcement came the same day that Russia launched its assault…

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…