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Fidel's death will not prompt policy shifts in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

His passing has stirred strong emotions among both supporters and opponents, although this is unlikely to have a longer-term impact on the domestic political climate, where the…

EU fiscal reforms will reinforce regional divergence

Location:

EU

Though parameters have changed and national starting positions are recognised more, the reforms are not extensive. Debt and deficit targets remain. Indebted countries, principally…

Trump Super Tuesday wins boost Democrats for 2016

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Super Tuesday primaries allocate about 20% of the Democratic delegates and more than 25% of the Republican delegates for the presidential nomination contests. Solid wins on…

President is eroding Romania’s pluralist democracy

Location:

ROMANIA

His efforts in 2021 to hammer out a coalition between two normally rival parties who hold most of parliament’s seats have undermined competitive politics and scrutiny of…

Mozambican government will maintain bunker mentality

Location:

MOZAMBIQUE

While the Mozambican authorities, bolstered by a South African-based private military company (PMC), appear to have lessened the scale of insurgent attacks in recent months…

2020 will be important for Swiss-EU relations

Location:

SWITZERLAND/EU

There are concerns in Switzerland that the IFA would undermine its sovereignty, reduce wages and subject Swiss businesses to greater competition. A referendum on ending…

Ethiopia and Eritrea face complex path to peace

Location:

ETHIOPIA/ERITREA

Isaias’s announcement follows Ethiopia’s June 5 offer to implement unconditionally the 2000 peace agreement that purportedly ended the 1998-2000 border war between them. Any…

Bosnia’s unresolved divisions will impede joining EU

Location:

BOSNIA

The Council declared Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) a potential EU member in June 2003, but withheld candidate status until end-2022. The 1995 Dayton peace agreement reconstituted BiH…

Earthquakes will hit Mexico’s 2018 election

Location:

MEXICO

Two major earthquakes hit southern and central Mexico on September 7 and 19, killing at least 340 people and damaging thousands of buildings. The disaster has sparked a public…

Mexico energy dispute will not break USMCA

Location:

MEXICO

The talks (intended to avoid arbitration) are unlikely either to promote major shifts in Mexico’s position or to rupture the USMCA. They will conclude next month at the latest, 75…