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Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

ASEAN summit will make little progress except on trade

Location:

ASEAN

South-east Asian leaders will discuss the South China Sea dispute, the Rohingya crisis in Myanmar and regional trade. ASEAN’s eight dialogue partners, including the United States…

Ukraine crisis will bring heavy costs for Europe

Location:

EU

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

Much could upset deal on Bosnian state government

Location:

BOSNIA

Under pressure from the US and EU ambassadors, Bosnia's leaders have reached agreement to form a state government. The breakthrough has provided a badly needed respite from…

Albanian opposition will struggle to make headway

Location:

ALBANIA

The cost-of-living crisis in Albania and PS’s declining appeal should help the opposition make significant gains in the local elections scheduled for next May. However, PD’s…

Ivanovic killing may slow EU path of Kosovo and Serbia

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KOSOVO/SERBIA

The prominent ethnic Serb politician’s assassination has shaken Kosovo. It is unclear which of Ivanovic’s many enemies ordered the killing. His death complicates Kosovo’s…

Bosnia's problematic party scene will delay reform

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BOSNIA

Party congresses' ratcheting up of political tensions.

Radicals will continue to press for Bosnia's break-up

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BOSNIA

Reports leave it unclear whether the meeting lifted the threat, which arose from RS claims that a SIPA raid in Bosanski Novi on December 10 infringed RS jurisdiction. SIPA…

Bosnian Serbs are moving closer to exiting BiH

Location:

BOSNIA

Dodik’s law would transfer responsibility for elections in RS from the Central Electoral Commission to its RS equivalent, severing the RS political system from BiH and enabling…

Bosnian Serb chief is becoming dominant regional force

Location:

BOSNIA

Dodik, who won the Serb seat on the tripartite BiH presidency in October, has strengthened his position as one of the region’s key politicians. He may use that position to impose…