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Ukrainian public will expect war to end in victory

Location:

UKRAINE

The Russian invasion has changed the lives of millions of Ukrainians, forcing many to seek refuge abroad or move to a safer place within the country. However, the war has pushed…

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

Location:

RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Malaysian-Thai relations will grow steadily

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MALAYSIA/THAILAND

This was his fifth visit to a South-east Asian neighbour since last November. In another development, in-person peace talks aimed at ending Thailand’s southern insurgency…

Crimea will survive but not thrive on Moscow subsidies

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UKRAINE/RUSSIA

The Russian government has clamped down on dissent while injecting large subsidies into Crimea since seizing the territory in 2014. The costs of this financial support have…

Indonesia president-elect faces thorny issues

Location:

INDONESIA

It confirmed Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto as the winner of the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president. The elections for the People’s Representative Council (DPR)…

Wagner leader poses a threat to Putin’s Russia

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RUSSIA

On the back of his mercenaries’ success in Ukraine, he has used social media to berate the defence ministry, the general staff and Putin himself, albeit indirectly, as a doddery…

Oligarchs risk unleashing new Ukraine tensions

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UKRAINE

This follows several days of growing tensions between Kyiv and the oligarch over the control of two energy companies. (Two deputy governors, Hennadiy Korban and Svyatoslav…

Defence will be the bedrock of Finnish foreign policy

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FINLAND

While this has mostly clearly been reflected by Helsinki’s decision to apply for NATO membership, there are many other changes in its relations with Russia. Finland has also…

Ukraine crisis will bring heavy costs for Europe

Location:

EU

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

Georgia struggles to stay out of war in Ukraine

Location:

GEORGIA/UKRAINE

The death of a Georgian national in Ukraine spurred controversy when the defence ministry put out an allegedly unauthorised statement blaming former President Mikheil Saakashvili…