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ECB and Fed to delay rate cuts to sustain disinflation

Location:

EU/US

Disinflation is underway on both sides of the North Atlantic, but it is not yet deeply entrenched, giving both central banks a reason to delay cuts. The ECB must contend with…

Structural problems threaten fast Hungarian growth

Location:

HUNGARY

After decades of delayed structural transition, Prime Minister Viktor Orban's government is presenting recent rapid growth as evidence of its successful management of the economy…

Recovery will not reverse poverty woes in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

In 2016, the economic downturn boosted unemployment, especially in the manufacturing and construction industries, while inflation undermined real incomes, hitting the poorest…

Prospects for African economies to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

The downgrade reflects the expected realisation this year of the delayed global economic slowdown. The resulting debt overhang in the region has depleted the space for fiscal…

Brazil election poses rising fiscal risks for 2023

Location:

BRAZIL

Given his low popularity, Bolsonaro adopted a series of measures to mitigate the effects of accelerating inflation, economic slowdown and increasing poverty. The objectives are…

Rising power prices raise risk of economic instability

Location:

INT

Base effects, pent-up demand and restored supply were expected to deliver above-trend growth in 2022-23, erasing the impact wrought by the pandemic in 2020-21. However, surging…

'4G' transport plan could transform Colombia's economy

Location:

COLOMBIA

Colombia's transport infrastructure.

Construction struggles may hit Australian recovery

Location:

AUSTRALIA

The sector is struggling with higher operating costs, delivery delays and costlier debt servicing, leading regulators to warn that more firms will fail after last month’s collapse…

COVID responses will impact Canada provincial politics

Location:

CANADA

Although the pandemic is beginning to recede in much of Canada, the federal and provincial governments are preparing for the onset of winter and its likely impact on case counts…

Civilian transition would lift Sudan’s economic slump

Location:

SUDAN

Donors have made the formation of a civilian government a condition for the resumption of financing, which halted (except for humanitarian aid) after the October 2021 military…