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Election pressures will undermine German government

Location:

GERMANY

The centre-right Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU), far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the far-left Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) were the…

Reform UK could impact next election outcome

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…

Greek ruling party could suffer losses in EU elections

Location:

GREECE

The vote comes a year after the centre-right New Democracy (ND) party of Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis was comfortably re-elected in the country’s parliamentary polls…

UK election could be existential for ruling party

Location:

UK

It is trailing the opposition Labour Party by an average of 20 percentage points (pp) and its prospects have been further damaged by the decision of Nigel Farage to contest the…

Bulgaria’s crisis will deepen after elections

Location:

BULGARIA

Opinion polls suggest another inconclusive parliamentary election outcome, although the right-wing Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) is projected to win the…

New Irish leader will struggle to reverse polls

Location:

IRELAND

Harris replaces Leo Varadkar, who surprisingly announced that he was stepping down ahead of local, EU and national elections. In his first speech as party leader, Harris suggested…

Germany’s CDU will shift further to the right

Location:

GERMANY

After months of internal division, the CDU’s senior figures united behind leader Friedrich Merz, elected a new executive and adopted a new programme that marks a reversion to…

Next EU parliament will likely be more right-wing

Location:

EU

EU-wide trends are overshadowing national political dynamics. Identity and Democracy (ID) and the European Conservative and Reformist (ECR) groups are benefiting from voter…

Croatia will likely shift further to the right

Location:

CROATIA

The HDZ has begun preliminary coalition talks with the far-right Homeland Movement, which finished in third place. The election has exacerbated deep tensions between Prime…

Albanian premier faces tough year ahead of elections

Location:

ALBANIA

The PD has started healing some of the rifts that have divided it for nearly three years. Nevertheless, Prime Minister Edi Rama’s Socialist Party (PS) is favourite to win…