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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
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His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
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A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
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Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 March 2024
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As a result of dwindling tax revenue, he also said that state spending would be cut by EUR10bn (USD10.8bn). The government’s forecast for this year is more optimistic than…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024
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Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 January 2024
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The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 January 2024
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The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 December 2023
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Romania is among the member states liable to the EDP. Although its debt is relatively low at 47.9% of GDP, Romania has wide budget and current account deficits, yet its tax-to-GDP…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

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