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France’s Macron shifts focus to elections

Location:

FRANCE

Macron hopes Attal can rescue his centrist alliance from a defeat by Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in the EU elections in June. In the longer term, he has anointed…

Religious freedom will slowly expand in Vietnam

Location:

VIETNAM

Catholics are a sizeable minority religious group in the country, numbering roughly 7 million out of a population of nearly 100 million. Vietnam and the Vatican have not had…

Belarus will propagate more anti-Western narratives

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BELARUS

A well-designed, powerful propaganda machine is being employed to manipulate public opinion and convince Belarusians that Russia is the sole protector of Belarus's imperilled…

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

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RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

China’s economy gains momentum in the third quarter

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CHINA

Consumer demand, especially for services, underpinned by a stronger labour market, drove the upswing. Exports stabilised, but investment slowed, held back by the housing market…

Legislative win strengthens Congo president’s hand

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Tshisekedi’s own Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) becomes parliament’s largest party with 69 seats, while main opposition contender Moise Katumbi’s Ensemble party…

Prospects for United States politics to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The first primary contests are due early next year. Both parties will focus on improving their 2024 electoral prospects, though at the state level there will be less Republican…

Gaza conflict will increase France’s security risk

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FRANCE

FRANCE: Gaza conflict will increase security risk

In the EU, France is uniquely exposed to the Gaza war

Location:

FRANCE

With sizeable Jewish and Arab populations, France is particularly vulnerable to social tension when conflict erupts between Israel and the Palestinians. Politically, the left-wing…

Milei risks rapid loss of Argentina political capital

Location:

ARGENTINA

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…