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Pipeline rupture threatens South Sudan’s stability

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SOUTH SUDAN

This episode could have a significant impact on South Sudan's government, which derives almost 90% of its revenue from oil.

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Guatemala’s new president will not bring major change

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GUATEMALA

His candidacy is nevertheless proving turbulent, with challenges launched in recent weeks, against both the first-round results and Semilla’s right to run.

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

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RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Syrian drug traffickers could shift routes to Libya

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LIBYA

Still, the narcotics trade provides a lucrative alternative revenue stream for government-aligned actors in Syria. These external pressures are therefore instead likely to prompt…

Uzbek president’s problems will mount in long term

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UZBEKISTAN

Constitutional change could keep him in power until 2037, providing an opportunity to transform Uzbekistan’s socio-economic conditions. However, significant domestic and foreign…

Prospects for improved Algerian-Moroccan ties are low

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ALGERIA/MOROCCO

The Israel-Hamas conflict has added to tensions between Algiers and Rabat over Western Sahara and their military build-ups, following Algiers' decision to break diplomatic…

Russia defence corruption charge will serve as signal

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RUSSIA

RUSSIA: Corruption charge will serve as signal

Seized Western assets will go to Kremlin allies

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RUSSIA

This follows the transfer of the assets of energy companies Uniper and Fortum three months earlier. Temporary management is likely to end in eventual nationalisation, and a…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…