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Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

Location:

RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

Armenia looks beyond Russia for security

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ARMENIA

ARMENIA: Yerevan looks beyond Moscow for security

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

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RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Germany’s NSS highlights divisions over strategy

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GERMANY

The NSS provides a comprehensive analysis of German security interests following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but fails to develop a clear roadmap for German security policy…

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

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EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

Armenia's relations with Russia will worsen

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ARMENIA

The rapid defeat of ethnic Armenian forces exposed the weakness of Russian security guarantees. Yerevan had already expressed dissatisfaction with Moscow's diminishing ability to…

NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

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NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…

A second-term Trump may avoid military confrontations

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UNITED STATES

Although the comments formed a small section of a wide-ranging campaign speech, they have increased fears that US security guarantees will become unreliable if Trump wins back the…

Ukraine will integrate into NATO even as non-member

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NATO/UKRAINE

NATO/UKRAINE: Kyiv will integrate into alliance

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…