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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
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Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Tbilisi has authorised flights by two smaller Russian airlines, exacerbating fears of the potential for sanctions evasion. That follows the easing of Russia’s visa regime for…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This was the first acceleration after twelve consecutive declines and was driven by an 11% rise in the prices of services. The war in Ukraine has exposed Russia’s consumers to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

KAZAKHSTAN: Social unrest diverts policy from IMF path
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Executive summary
Publication date: 28 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

UKRAINE: Improving economy will let rate cuts start
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

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