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Mozambican government could ease IMF fears over debt

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MOZAMBIQUE

As Mozambique’s government struggles to deal with an ongoing controversy over 2 billion dollars in secret loans and unpaid debts, the government hopes new gas investments and the…

Lebanon will struggle to turn loans into prosperity

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LEBANON

Lebanon won aid pledges exceeding eleven billion dollars on April 6 during a conference in Paris, named CEDRE, that aimed to rally international support for a massive investment…

Iraq’s Sunnis will vie for post-election relevance

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IRAQ

Both minorities complain the draft budget does not allocate sufficient funds to their areas. Sunni lawmakers are also concerned about the ongoing displacement of their…

Prospects for the Levant in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

However, in 2021 they will all face two common challenges: recovering from major economic shocks in 2020 and reorienting to US policy shifts under a Biden presidency. From…

Prospects for the global economy in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021…

Afghan aid flows will resume, bypassing the Taliban

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AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban government has allowed UN agencies to start paying salaries directly to teachers and healthcare workers. It initially stalled on this, but has now conceded for fear of…

Malawian president's popularity will persist

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MALAWI

Funds for emergency maize crop purchases from Zambia were allegedly misappropriated, with former Minister of Agriculture, Irrigation and Water Development George Chaponda…

Somalia faces long road to economic reconstruction

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SOMALIA

Despite the government’s genuine efforts to implement policy reforms, low to non-existent institutional capacity will continue to impede the emergence of a more formalised…

COVID-19 adds to Afghan fiscal and political pressures

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AFGHANISTAN

The government is struggling to manage the health crisis and is distracted by peace negotiations, the impending US troop withdrawal and its own factional infighting.

Middle East refugee return would destabilise situation

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MIDDLE EAST

Regional host countries are increasingly calling for the voluntary or forced return of Syrian refugees at a time when Western countries are distracted by the flow of Ukrainian…