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UK defence review presages global capability upgrade

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UNITED KINGDOM

SDSR 2015 revealed significant defence commitment decisions. Many of these correct choices made in the preceding SDSR 2010, and constitute an implicit recognition that the…

Sudan’s new cabinet faces daunting challenges

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SUDAN

The cabinet deviates sharply from the more technocratic cabinets under the transition thus far, as armed opposition and political leaders have now been brought into a much…

Shortcomings will mire the South Sudan peace process

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SOUTH SUDAN

The agreement has formally held, but implementation is well behind schedule and shows no sign of accelerating. Moreover, there still appears to be little prospect that the…

Mali may use threat of greater Russian influence again

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MALI

The remarks follow confirmation of talks between Malian authorities and Russian private military company Wagner. France, which intends to reduce its military presence in Mali, is…

Militias could push the Syrian president towards Iran

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SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad does not control most of the local and foreign militias that operate in his name in Syria. Some of those follow the policies of Iran’s Islamic Revolution…

Sudan’s new institutions will face multiple challenges

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SUDAN

The formation of a cabinet is the next step in the roadmap agreed under the August 17 power-sharing agreement between the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and protest leaders…

Russia’s African Corps will remain engaged in Mali

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RUSSIA

Tuareg rebels killed a large contingent of Russian fighters during the ambush in northern Mali. The men belonged to Russia’s African Corps, a group the Ministry of Defence created…

Southern Yemen deal will require added Saudi pressure

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YEMEN

The government was ejected from the city in clashes with the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) in August. Earlier this month, the sides signed a Saudi-brokered peace…

Yemen war may see a lull, but peace prospects are poor

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YEMEN

This complicates direct talks that began recently between Saudi Arabia and the Huthis on a resolution to the wider conflict. Meanwhile, the first visible signs of progress in…

Iraq’s new premier will take drastic economic steps

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IRAQ

This follows a long vacuum after popular protests forced the resignation of Adel Abdel-Mahdi in November, and two earlier nominees failed to be confirmed. Kadhimi’s appointment…