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COVID-19 threatens to fragment the EU further

Location:

EU

Euro-area unity.

Reapplying EU fiscal rules will cause contention

Location:

EU

The Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) which governs fiscal rules has been partly suspended since early 2020, but is due to be fully reinstated in 2023. A key issue will be how to…

Macedonian deal could upset Greece’s bailout exit

Location:

GREECE

This is almost certainly the last Eurogroup before Greece’s third economic adjustment programme terminates on August 20. Both sides seek an orderly phase-out so that what has…

EU can become a trendsetter and bolster world GDP

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The global reach of Germany's fiscal scope.

Defence spending will remain robust in Europe

Location:

EUROPE

However, many countries, including those worst-affected by COVID-19, have committed to maintaining defence spending commitments, suggesting that 2020 will have less of an impact…

Terms of Greece's third bailout will depress economy

Location:

GREECE

In the absence of external funding, capital controls will remain. Banks will allow depositors to withdraw up to 420 euros (456 dollars)/week at one go rather than in daily…

Prospects for Europe in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for Europe in the second quarter.

Reality bites in Argentina's search for foreign funds

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ARGENTINA

Argentina has followed Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Peru and Venezuela into the AIIB as President Mauricio Macri seeks increased foreign investment. With the arguable exception of…

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022.

Ukraine crisis exacerbates Europe's inflation concerns

Location:

EUROPE

Concerns over energy supply from Russia increase the chances that inflationary pressures will persist throughout 2022, potentially worsening the cost-of-living crisis in many…