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Eventual Ukrainian offensive will involve more forces

Location:

UKRAINE

These are the first offensive operations using Western equipment and benefitting from NATO countries’ training in their use, and confirm Kyiv’s commitment to counter-offensive…

Post-virus downturn could hurt Hungary’s government

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HUNGARY

The pandemic has strengthened Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s position in the short term. However, the government has done little on the economic front; a conservative stimulus…

EU will struggle to gain post-COVID Balkan influence

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BALKANS

The European Commission has prepared for the summit by making public a package of financial support for the Western Balkans as the region struggles to emerge from the COVID-19…

Zambian constitution changes will weaken its democracy

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ZAMBIA

These contentious changes will strengthen the executive and weaken oversight from both the legislature and judiciary. Opposition to the amendments is growing from independent…

Erdogan may emerge from pandemic even stronger

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TURKEY

Official figures give Turkey a case fatality rate of 2.7% or 49 deaths per million, well below Western European figures and by no means the catastrophe predicted by outside…

Disparate new Montenegrin government looks fragile

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MONTENEGRO

Decades of one-party rule by the Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) ended at the August 30 elections, which delivered a stinging rebuke to veteran strongman Milo Djukanovic…

COVID-19 will hit northern Central America hard

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CENTRAL AMERICA

COVID-19.

Elite churn raises cautious reform hopes in Montenegro

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MONTENEGRO

Its wider importance lies in the potential to stimulate trust in the electoral process, inspiring disillusioned populaces and weak opposition movements. Meanwhile, Serbia’s…

Hungary’s pandemic measures will entrench ruling party

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HUNGARY

While the government's communications focus on how to stop the pandemic and make the economy more resilient, some of its recent spending decisions seem unrelated to tackling…

Pandemic to worsen recession and instability in Haiti

Location:

HAITI

World Bank and IMF financial support totalling USD142mn, in the form of grants and zero-interest loans, will help partially to cover increasing external and fiscal financing gaps…