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Bosnia-Hercegovina edges closer to breaking up

Location:

BOSNIA

Fallout from Bosnian Serbs’ celebration of national day on January 9.

Risk of North Korea war will grow if trends continue

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NORTH KOREA

North Korea the same day pledged a “decisive act of justice” to avenge “a hundred thousand-fold” the “heinous crime” of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions approved unanimously…

Policy gaps will frustrate China-US ties under Trump

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CHINA/US

No joint statement was issued by the two leaders, although the US Secretaries of State, Commerce and Treasury provided commentary on the talks. Both US and Chinese expectations…

US influence in Africa will wane under Trump

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AFRICA/US

US policy towards Africa.

Pakistan’s talks with key enemy are at a crossroads

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PAKISTAN

Days earlier, reports emerged that peace negotiations between the TTP, an enemy of the Pakistani state, and Islamabad had ended in deadlock. It is unclear if the talks have ended…

ASEAN summit will make little progress except on trade

Location:

ASEAN

South-east Asian leaders will discuss the South China Sea dispute, the Rohingya crisis in Myanmar and regional trade. ASEAN’s eight dialogue partners, including the United States…

Flat US defence spending puts Pentagon under pressure

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US

While Congress broadly supports existing defence programmes and the current level of spending, an increase below inflation leaves the Pentagon struggling to manage current…

Bangladeshi-US relations will be difficult to reset

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BANGLADESH/US

Washington imposed the punitive measures in December, citing human rights concerns. US officials have since then tried to downplay the significance of the move.

US ICC sanctions are unlikely but spats will come

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US/INT

The United States, the International Criminal Court and international legal investigations.

Slovak opposition will gain from government weakness

Location:

SLOVAKIA

Public opinion about both the DCA and tensions in Ukraine is less favourable towards the United States, bolstered by strong criticism from opposition leaders. They will attempt…