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US shift boosts hopes of Venezuela dialogue progress

Location:

VENEZUELA

Optimism is building that there will be progress in dialogue efforts between President Nicolas Maduro's government and US-recognised ‘interim president’ Juan Guaido. The current…

Washington will prove a paper tiger on North Korea

Location:

NORTH KOREA/US

Since its first nuclear test in 2006, North Korea has made steady progress in nuclear weapons technology. The July 4 ICBM test reflects its progress on delivery systems with…

US AI export controls on China have limits

Location:

US/CHINA

However, the open-source nature of much AI development, and China’s mature domestic environment for driving AI development, mean such new measures are unlikely to impede Chinese…

Astana partnership over Syria can survive tests

Location:

SYRIA

Idlib is the location of a nominal de-escalation zone brokered by Russia and Turkey last September. Those countries, along with Iran, held a summit in the Kazakh capital…

US WTO reform proposals will gain little traction

Location:

UNITED STATES

Tai will continue to make the Biden administration’s case that the WTO needs reform to make it fit for purpose in the 21st century. Opposition to reform will come from India and…

Ukraine war impedes crackdown on crypto cybercrime

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

There were signs of possible progress in 2021, and even some cooperation from Moscow -- REvil ransomware gang members were arrested in early 2022. However, that cooperation has…

Colombian-Venezuela ties may improve under Petro

Location:

COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA

Leftist President Gustavo Petro is due to take office in Colombia on August 7, and rapid progress is expected towards normalising relations. This would provide a political and…

Iran nuclear talks approach a point of crisis

Location:

IRAN

He denied Iran was playing for time. Political negotiators have now returned to the talks after consulting with their capitals while technical sessions continued, and the tone on…

US midterms will limit Venezuela policy options

Location:

VENEZUELA/US

To date, Venezuela has been among a number of countries placed on the political and diplomatic back burner by the United States. This risks damaging US economic and security…

Pyongyang's nuclear advance will continue

Location:

NORTH KOREA

The claim that it is a miniaturised hydrogen bomb is less plausible.