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Parallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy

Location:

RUSSIA

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

Border adjustment tax scheme would hit US oil refiners

Location:

UNITED STATES

Congressional Republicans are mulling the introduction of a border adjustment tax (BAT) regime as part of an overhaul of the US tax system. For the oil industry, the reform would…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2016

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for the global economy to end-2016.

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

Hungary’s investment appeal could weaken

Location:

HUNGARY

The erosion of the rule of law and systemic corruption have not had a substantial impact on capital attraction. Despite occasional anti-capitalist rhetoric and measures to expel…

Weak GDP may delay policymakers’ ‘Industry 4.0’ plans

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

This spending is needed as manufacturers are under pressure to re-engineer their businesses by deploying technologies to enhance productivity and develop and scale new products…

US efforts to 'decouple' from China will hit limits

Location:

CHINA

These are being reinforced by Chinese measures to maintain this integration, albeit on terms that favour China. China remains deeply integrated into many global supply chains.

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

Russian economy edges into recovery phase

Location:

RUSSIA

Positive signs are still thin on the ground, but a modest recovery in demand is apparent. Oil export figures are less bad than they could have been, and natural gas sales are…

Prospects for the global economy in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021…