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Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Syria's Kurds may be forced to align with Damascus

Location:

SYRIA

This follows President Donald Trump's surprise decision to withdraw troops from Syria, where Washington has been supporting the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in…

Russia-Iran partnership will continue despite rows

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RUSSIA/IRAN

However, doubts have arisen over the durability of their partnership, especially given delays in the delivery of the Su-35 Flanker jets that Iran was set to receive from Russia…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

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RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Exit of Russian troops signals shift away from Armenia

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The visit followed Moscow’s decision to pull out its last remaining troops from Nagorno-Karabakh before the expiration of their peacekeeping mandate. This reflects the Kremlin’s…

Armenia's relations with Russia will worsen

Location:

ARMENIA

The rapid defeat of ethnic Armenian forces exposed the weakness of Russian security guarantees. Yerevan had already expressed dissatisfaction with Moscow's diminishing ability to…

Politics will check scope of US retrenchment abroad

Location:

UNITED STATES

President Barack Obama has drawn criticism from traditional US allies over a series of interviews with Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic magazine entitled 'The Obama Doctrine', in…

Turkey’s government revolution promises a bumpy ride

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s new presidential system.

Greece’s foreign policy ambitions will grow

Location:

GREECE

The summit focused on EU enlargement, with European Commission and Council Presidents Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel present too. Having gone through a period of…