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Blowback may eventually restrain Gulf interventionism

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GULF STATES

The wealthier Gulf states have become increasingly active in nearby countries over the past decade. They have intervened significantly across the Middle East and Horn of Africa…

South Sudan peace talks may fail to bridge reality gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

A ‘framework agreement’ reached between President Salva Kiir and opposition leader Riek Machar in Khartoum on June 27 had been billed as a breakthrough in efforts to end South…

Sudan aid response faces capacity challenges

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SUDAN

Collectively, participants pledged some USD2.2bn in humanitarian assistance for Sudan, against an appeal for USD4.1bn from aid agencies.

Prospects for Africa in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for Africa in the second quarter.

Inclusion will prove critical to Sudan peace process

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SUDAN

The resulting ‘Addis Ababa Declaration’ has provoked stern scrutiny of Tagadom’s legitimacy, as well as broader reflection on the importance of a peace process that is genuinely…

Sudan’s revolution enters its most challenging phase

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SUDAN

While a huge step towards a possible democratic transition, the real challenge facing Sudan’s revolution will come in its implementation phases.

Prospects for East and Central Africa to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for East and Central Africa to end-2022.

Sudan transition plan faces credibility questions

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SUDAN

Although this nominally restores a path back to democracy after last year’s coup, the deal has not been warmly received by all Sudanese and leaves many questions unanswered about…

Balance of power in East Africa is shifting

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EAST AFRICA

Kiir's ally, the Ugandan government, yesterday publicly urged him to sign. However, Kampala's credibility among regional neighbours is under strain given the presence of its…

Ethiopia and Eritrea will leverage border clash

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ERITREA/ETHIOPIA

Tentative shifts in Eritrea's regional and global relations -- related to the conflict in Yemen and to Eritrean migration to Europe -- have raised the prospect that the country…