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EU’s Visegrad Four will not continue in current format

Location:

EU

Poland may have resolved its rule-of-law dispute with the EU, whereas part of Hungary’s ‘cohesion’ funds are frozen. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has driven a wedge between Poland…

East European growth in 2023 will be modest at best

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

EU green ambitions are strongly reflected in budget

Location:

EU

Overall, some 30% of the budget will involve climate-related spending. One of the key reforms concerns the EU’s own resources mechanism to finance spending, with plans to…

EU will push healthcare in African diplomacy

Location:

EU/AFRICA

This has sought to guard against negative perceptions of the bloc and counteract China’s competitive ‘mask diplomacy’. The importance of EU-African health partnerships is set to…

Cooperative Italy-EU relations will remain for now

Location:

ITALY

It was the second time they met since Meloni’s election in September, with both leaders reaffirming the importance of cooperation in the economic recovery, immigration and the war…

Syriza sets collision course with Greece's creditors

Location:

GREECE

The left-right coalition will secure tomorrow's parliamentary vote of confidence, having 162 seats in the 300-seat house. However, its two parties -- Coalition of the Radical…

Prospects for the EU in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Two of the most pressing issues will be reforms to EU fiscal rules and Poland's challenge to the primacy of EU law.

Swedish policies will be influenced by far-right party

Location:

SWEDEN

SD, previously a pariah, increased its vote share to 20.5%, from 17.5% in 2018. It is the largest rightist party in a bloc that has a three-seat majority. The centre-right parties…

Older Lithuanian parties may use newcomers’ weaknesses

Location:

LITHUANIA

The coalition government sworn in on December 13.

Prospects for US politics in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…