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Belarusian economy will depend on Russian support

Location:

BELARUS

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

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RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

Talks on Kyrgyzstan's Kumtor mine face new delays

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KYRGYZSTAN

The Kyrgyzstan government's dispute with Canada's Centerra mining company.

Central Asia faces COVID-19 surge and resurgence risks

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CENTRAL ASIA

Like Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan took timely action when evidence of COVID-19 emerged. Their governments' claim of effective management may prove justified but is…

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

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CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…

Tajik election may be president's last before handover

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TAJIKISTAN

The decision to hold the election on October 11, a month earlier than scheduled, may be intended to pre-empt employment and energy problems, both likely to worsen before year-end.

Kazakh fiscal buffers soften oil and COVID-19 blows

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KAZAKHSTAN

The projected fiscal deficit of 3.5% of GDP assumes a forecast 2.1% economic contraction this year. The authorities have used their ample fiscal space and large sovereign wealth…

Turkmenistan cannot sell more gas despite new finds

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TURKMENISTAN

Turkmenistan's oil and gas prospects.

Georgia vulnerable to external factors despite growth

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GEORGIA

Georgian economic developments.

Growing Russian over-regulation may deter investors

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RUSSIA

The business climate in Russia.