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Central African Republic peace deal needs executing

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CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

The accord, the full contents of which are still not public, differs from previous deals in that it follows the first direct talks between the parties and because the government…

Government instability will be endemic in Nepal

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NEPAL

KP Sharma Oli’s Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist) left the ruling coalition that was formed shortly after the November general election when it became clear that…

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Meanwhile, the Myanmar junta and the military-aligned Thai government are under pressure from opponents, and the Philippines is gearing up for elections. With COVID-19 vaccination…

Beirut’s internal and external pressures will mount

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LEBANON

As a new crisis in relations with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states intensifies and internal sectarian tensions mount, compromise Prime Minister Najib Mikati is pushing ahead…

EU will ignore Azerbaijan’s repression of minority

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AZERBAIJAN

The arrests are connected with continuing tensions with Iran, stemming from an attack on Azerbaijan’s embassy in Tehran in January. They have profound implications for Azerbaijani…

A pattern of arrests in Iran will intensify

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IRAN

Since the major anti-government protests in January 2018, Tehran has engaged in a gradual but growing campaign of repression against civil society and economic actors, arresting…

Central-Eastern Europe will compete for US favour

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EUROPE/US

Trump’s effect on US-European relations.

Opposition split may mean more violence for Kosovo

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KOSOVO

Kosovo's violent and fragmenting opposition.

US shutdown effects will deepen

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UNITED STATES

For Trump, building “the wall” is an election pledge, but Democrats say it would be an “immorality” and ineffective. This disagreement triggered a partial government shutdown of…

Guinea-Bissau elections may not end instability

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GUINEA-BISSAU

Outlook for presidential elections in Guinea-Bissau.