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North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

Conflict and pandemic disrupt Armenian reform momentum

Location:

ARMENIA

The intensity of the clashes, now in their third day, heightens the risk of full-scale war with Azerbaijan. Pashinyan is committed to defending Armenian-controlled Karabakh…

Russian policymakers will await new US president

Location:

RUSSIA

Russian foreign policy in 2016.

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

Location:

RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Russia seeks mediating but not dominant Libyan role

Location:

RUSSIA/LIBYA

Moscow is increasingly involved in Libya in support of a dual ambition to be taken seriously as a regional power and an honest intermediary. As Turkey takes sides in the conflict…

Tajikistan's Rahmon will tighten grip on power

Location:

TAJIKISTAN

The stress on democracy is at odds with the recent March 1 parliamentary election, which gave the governing People's Democratic Party of Tajikistan (PDPT) an overwhelming majority…

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

Location:

CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…

Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict over Karabakh is settled

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The region’s Armenian majority population has fled; displaced Azerbaijanis have returned to Karabakh and formerly occupied surrounding districts. Russia refused to support its…

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

Luck and opportunity advance Russian aims in Syria

Location:

RUSSIA/SYRIA

The US troop withdrawal from the Kurdish-controlled region and Turkey's paused invasion created an opportunity for Russia to intervene and avert a wider conflict. US President…