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Migration trends will alter Turkish election outcome

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TURKEY

The latest data published by TurkStat confirms Turkey as a destination for immigration rather than a source of emigration. Migration, boosted by the high number of Syrian refugees…

Muslim Brotherhood will struggle to recover in Egypt

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EGYPT

Cairo’s aversion to political Islam has seen it dismantle the aging leadership of Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood (MB), most of whom are either dead, in prison or scattered. The…

Next-generation Gulf monarchs will set new rules

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GULF STATES

This brings in different perspectives on issues such as economic diversification, social liberalism, Israel and the role of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

New Palestinian groups will test existing leadership

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PALESTINIANS

The killings follow the deaths of 17 people in a series of Palestinian attacks in Israel in March and April. The violence has triggered a change in the Palestinian political…

Algerian president’s win reinforces the status quo

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ALGERIA

His victory, which was widely expected within Algeria and abroad, represents the final defeat of the Hirak protest movement's call for structural change. Tebboune's first term was…

Premier’s resignation will deepen the Lebanese impasse

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LEBANON

The protests, which have mounted over 13 days, are unusually diverse in terms of geography, class and sect. People across the country are expressing their outrage over…

Rabat’s Islamists will struggle to overcome weaknesses

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MOROCCO

It faces major hurdles to regaining its former role and influence, and the party's statements suggesting the September 8 earthquake was a divine punishment for Moroccans’ sins…

Conservative line will delay Turks' gender progress

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TURKEY

He claimed Turkey had implemented many reforms to improve women's situation, but he and those around him have adopted an increasingly conservative discourse on women and been…

Kuwait faces imminent oil capacity constraints

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KUWAIT

Capacity has fallen by around 15% over the past four years and is below the country’s official OPEC baseline. COVID-19 and difficult executive-legislative relations in 2020-21…

Prospects for Iran in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…