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Syrian-Lebanese food shortages will drive instability

Location:

SYRIA/LEBANON

While Lebanon is experiencing what the World Bank dubbed “the worst economic crisis in more than a century”, civil war-torn Syria has been hit by one of the most severe droughts…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Prospects for Russia in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

Vladimir Putin is almost certain to run and win, keeping him in power for at least six more years. Neither the war with Ukraine, nor an inflation-strained economy, are likely to…

Ukraine war will erode its Visegrad neighbours’ unity

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

Inflation could rise again in Russia in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

EU energy market reform would carry important risks

Location:

EU

Southern European countries want to impose price ceilings and decouple the electricity market from gas prices. They face strong resistance from northern member states, who instead…

Eastern Europe’s further convergence needs a reset

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The Visegrad Four (V4) -- Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia -- have been widely regarded as an economic success in post-transition European integration, global value-chain…

Moldova seeks closer EU ties due to Ukraine war risks

Location:

MOLDOVA

"Ukraine isn't Russia's only target," he warned. For the moment, Moldovan leaders are downplaying, even publicly ignoring, the existence of military threat. Instead, they are…

Renewed war with PKK may risk Turkey's energy security

Location:

TURKEY

The Justice and Development Party (AKP) has abandoned its long-stalled 'peace process' with the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK). In response, the PKK has ended its ceasefire…

Yemenis face little prospects of major relief

Location:

YEMEN

Floods and heavy rains have made the situation worse. Meanwhile, attacks by the Huthis (the group in control of northern Yemen) obstruct shipping traffic to Hodeida port, which is…