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COVID-19 will hit US GDP but recovery may be V-shaped

Location:

UNITED STATES

US economic outlook.

Pandemic will force economic policy reversal in Brazil

Location:

BRAZIL

The crisis induced by the COVID-19 epidemic and social distancing measures to contain it will leave deep scars on the Brazilian economy. Still struggling to recover the ground…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

Near-term financial market virus fears will be strong

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INTERNATIONAL

More than 80,000 cases have been confirmed in China, and almost 10,000 cases in 68 other countries across six continents. The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) benchmark…

Momentum will build in Vietnamese-US relations

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VIETNAM/US

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin was in Hanoi last month. In the Interim National Security Strategic Guidance document released by the White House in March, Vietnam was identified…

Third COVID wave calls for caution from Erdogan

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TURKEY

Throughout April, new cases have exceeded 40,000 per day. The surge, which followed the easing of containment measures in March, was the third and largest spike in COVID-19 cases…

Prospects for Argentina in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Doubts over the extent of recovery from a double-digit contraction this year are complicating efforts to renegotiate debt with the IMF and present a plausible economic policy…

Risks are high despite Turkey’s policy 'normalisation'

Location:

TURKEY

With the lira at a record low, the Central Bank continued to tighten monetary policy this week, funding the market through competitive one-month repo tenders at rates of around…

Prospects for the Euro-area in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Its recovery will significantly depend on how quickly the latest measures to combat the spread of COVID-19 can be withdrawn, the speed at which a vaccine can be deployed at scale…